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The Dragon’s Rise in Education

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The Dragon’s Rise in Education

A personal experience recounted by an American student in Business Insider is actually a small but striking summary of a larger geopolitical transformation. The author states that university education in China is much cheaper than in the US, better prepares students for post-graduation life, and has increased visibility on campuses, particularly for African students. This observation alone is not proof; however, it offers a good starting point for understanding how China has become a new center of attraction in education today (https://www.businessinsider.com/american-studied-china-universities-cheaper-2026-3).

China’s rise in education is not simply about attracting more foreign students. The real issue is the large-scale, state-sponsored research capacity, the production power in engineering and science, and the ability to use this in coordination with foreign policy. According to official Chinese data, the country’s gross enrollment rate in higher education will be 60.8 percent in 2024. In the same year, the total number of students enrolled in regular and vocational higher education institutions will be 38.9 million. This shows that China is no longer just “a country with a large number of students”; it has become a system that has institutionalized the era of mass higher education (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202512/t20251231_1962224.html).

The picture is also striking in terms of quality. In Times Higher Education’s 2025 Asia rankings, China retained the top two spots and has five universities in the top 10 (https://www.timeshighereducation.com/world-university-rankings/2025/regional-ranking). In the Nature Index 2025 data, China-based institutions also topped the list: the Chinese Academy of Sciences ranked first, followed by USTC, Zhejiang University, and Peking University (https://www.nature.com/nature-index/research-leaders/2025/institution/all/all/countries-China).  Furthermore, according to Georgetown CSET, Chinese universities are on track to produce over 77,000 STEM PhD graduates annually by 2025; in a similar comparison, the US remains at around 40,000. This difference demonstrates that university competition is no longer determined solely by prestige rankings, but also by the production of researchers and advanced technology human resources (https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/china-is-fast-outpacing-u-s-stem-phd-growth/).

However, to correctly understand China’s rise, a paradox must be seen. According to OECD data, China’s international student ratio in higher education remained low in 2023 at only 0.3%. This means that China is not yet a classic “international student hub” like the US, UK, or Australia. But the same data reveals another fact: China’s strength at this stage lies less in its massive foreign student ratio and more in the scale of its domestic system, its cost advantage, research efficiency, and its ability to establish targeted influence in specific regions. In other words, rather than building a campus economy that invites everyone, China is developing an education diplomacy that is effective in strategic areas (https://gpseducation.oecd.org/CountryProfile?primaryCountry=CHN&topic=EO&treshold=5).

One of the most prominent areas of this strategy is Africa. According to UNESCO, the number of African students studying in China reached approximately 70,000 in 2019. The 2024 FOCAC Beijing Action Plan sets out the goal of deepening China-Africa science and education cooperation, establishing regional vocational training centers, and strengthening educational platforms. According to information from the Chinese Ministry of Education at the end of 2025, approximately 9% of international students studying in China receive Chinese government scholarships, and about 60% of these recipients are postgraduate students. This suggests that Beijing is not only pursuing quantity but also trying to attract future elites, especially at the master’s and doctoral levels (https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000389878).

From the US perspective, the picture is more complex. America remains the world’s largest international student destination (https://www.iie.org/news/open-doors-2025-press-release/); according to Open Doors 2025 data, there were 1,177,766 international students in the US during the 2024/25 academic year. However, uncertainty grew during the same period. According to internal correspondence seen by Reuters, the Trump administration temporarily halted scheduling new student and exchange visa appointments in May 2025 (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-administration-halts-scheduling-new-student-visa-appointments-2025-05-27/). Subsequently, in August 2025, the DHS published a draft rule that would eliminate the “duration of status” approach for student visas and switch to a fixed-term stay model. NAFSA reported a 17% drop in new international student enrollments in the fall of 2025, resulting in a $1.1 billion economic loss and approximately 23,000 job losses (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-administration-halts-scheduling-new-student-visa-appointments-2025-05-27/). In short, the US system is still very strong, but it no longer seems as predictable as it once was.

Therefore, China’s rise is being accelerated more by the vacuum created by American uncertainty than by American decline. For a student, the choice of higher education is not solely about the quality of the diploma; visa security, the likelihood of staying after graduation, the cost of living, housing, the political atmosphere, and a sense of psychological belonging are just as important as academic reputation. The Business Insider narrative highlights China’s cheap dormitories, low food costs, and more direct career preparation. This model may not appeal to everyone; But it can be extremely attractive, especially for students who don’t want to be burdened by debt, are seeking education in technical fields, and want to stay close to Asian-African economic networks.

Europe, on the other hand, can be both a competitor and an intermediate winner in this race. The European Union has explicitly declared its goal of making itself the “world’s most attractive destination” for researchers and innovators by 2025 (https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/news/all-research-and-innovation-news/choose-europe-science-eu-comes-together-attract-top-research-talent-2025-05-23_en). The EU higher education strategy also aims for Europe to establish more competitive and outward-looking universities on a global scale. On the other hand, Europe is already a significant draw: according to EU data, France, Germany, and Spain account for 58.7% of total extra-EU degree mobility. In Germany, there were approximately 402,000 international students and doctoral students in the winter semester of 2024/25 (https://www.daad.de/en/press-releases/erneut-hohe-zahl-an-internationalen-studierenden-in-deutschland/). Therefore, the hardening of policies in the US and the rise of China do not automatically weaken Europe; on the contrary, they open up a new space for Europe. However, to utilize this space effectively, Europe needs to be more decisive regarding visas, housing, academic career security, and research funding.

The outcome the world can expect in the coming period is that education will become an even more geopolitical field. Universities are not only institutions that produce knowledge; they are centers that produce influence, technology, norms, and human capital. China grasped this fact very early on and began to support its economic network with education. A new sphere of influence is emerging, particularly in Africa, through scholarships, technical training, postgraduate programs, and Chinese-linked career networks. If the US tightens its doors and Europe moves slowly, the international education landscape of the 2030s could be significantly different from today. The question will then no longer be simply “where are the best universities?”; it will be “in which countries are the future global elites being educated and shaped by which worldview?” Therefore, China’s rise in education is a silent sign of a new world order.